"The Heat is on - Climate Change and the Oil Endgame"
May 18 to May 21, 2006
hosted by Dräger Foundation, Lübeck Lutz Kleveman, Gut Ankelohe
supported by American Council on Germany (ACG), New York, NY openDemocracy.net, London Volkswagen AG, Wolfsburg
Thursday, May 18, 2006
until 06.30 pm
Arrival of participants at Gut Ankelohe
06.30 - 07.30 pm
"Climate change and the oil endgame - the dual challenge of the 21st century"
Speaker Dr. Jeremy Leggett, Half Gone: Oil, Gas, Hot Air and the Global Energy Crisis, CEO and Chairman of solarcentury, London, United Kingdom
Dinner will follow after the keynote address.
Friday, May 19, 2006
09.00 am -12.45 pm
Presentations (including breakfast)
"Climate change and the oil endgame - an overview of the problems we face"
09.00 - 10.30 am
Session 1: Climate change
Chair Simon Retallack, Stop, Senior Research Fellow, ippr - institute for public policy research, London, United Kingdom
What is the state of scientific debate on climate change?
What impact is global warming already having on different parts of the world?
To what extent are greenhouse gas emissions responsible for global warming? What do we know, and what do we assume?
What have our governments pledged to do domestically and internationally to reduce greenhouse gas emissions?
What counter-measures against global warming have been introduced and how (cost-) effective are they?
Speakers Prof. Dr. Mojib Latif, Klima, Climatologist at the Leibniz Institute of Marine Sciences, Kiel, Germany Mark Lynas, High Tide: News from a Warming World, Journalist, Oxford, United Kingdom
10.30 - 11.00 am
11.00 am - 01.00 pm
Session 2: The oil endgame
Chair Thomas Seifert, Schwarzbuch Öl, Member of the Editorial Staff, Foreign Affairs Section, Die Presse, Vienna, Austria
What are the energy-political challenges of the coming decades?
How serious are oil corporations about investing in alternative energies?
How is the supply and demand of oil (and thus its price) going to develop?
Is the rivalry over oil reserves escalating into energy wars?
What are the causal interconnections between oil politics and terrorism?
Speakers Prof. Dr. David Goodstein, Out of Gas, Vice Provost, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA Rory Stewart, The Prince of the Marshes, Chief Executive, Turquoise Mountain Foundation, Crieff, United Kingdom Steve Westwell, Group Vice President, BP Alternative Energy, London, United Kingdom
01.00 - 02.30 pm
02.30 - 04.00 pm
Session 3: Addressing climate change and the oil endgame: Scenarios for the future
Chair Lutz Kleveman, The New Great Game, Journalist, Gut Ankelohe, Germany
Should we and how can we wean ourselves off our fossil fuel addiction?
China and India exploring any alternatives to oil-driven industrialisation?
Is nuclear energy part of the problem or of the solution?
How viable are alternative technologies in the automobile and transport sectors?
What impact will the end of cheap oil have on our economies and lifestyle?
What dislocations (famines, mass migrations, etc.) will be forced onto our societies?
Speakers Dr. Colin J. Campbell, Oil Crisis, Chairman and Founder, Association for the Study of Peak Oil & Gas, Ballydehob, Ireland Prof. Kenneth S. Deffeyes, Beyond Oil: The View from Hubbert's Peak, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA Nathan Glasgow, Winning the Oil Endgame, Energy Consultant and Special Aide to the CEO, Rocky Mountain Institute, Snowmass, CO, USA
Screening of "Oil Crash"
by Basil Gelpke, Executive Producer and Director, Lava Productions, Zurich, Switzerland
Relaxed gathering at bonfire
Saturday, May 20, 2006
09.30 am - 12.30 pm
Session 4: The obstacles to progress (including coffee break)
Chair James L. Ledbetter, Jr., Starving to Death on $200 Million, Senior Editor, TIME magazine, London, United Kingdom
What political, economic, social, cultural and psychological mechanisms keep us from taking climate change and the oil endgame seriously as major threats, and acting on them?
Why is the Kyoto agreement not yielding any substantial results?
What stands in the way of a sensible international energy policy?
Have green policies failed and why?
Speakers George Marshall, The Psychology of Denial, Co-Executive Director, The Climate Outreach and Information Network (COIN), Oxford, United Kingdom Simon Retallack, Stop, Senior Research Fellow, ippr - institute for public policy research, London, United Kingdom Stefan Schurig, Head of Climate and Energy Unit, Greenpeace e.V., Hamburg, Germany
12.30 - 02.00 pm
02.00 - 04.00 pm
Session 5: What difference can writers make?
Chair Mark Hertsgaard, Earth Odyssey, Environment Correspondent, The Nation, San Francisco, CA, USA
Participants" discussion on how to write about climate change, and on the role of authors in helping to ensure public action and policy outcomes
What are the stories we are telling about climate change and the energy crisis?
What impact are they having on the public psyche?
What can writers do differently to help galvanise people and governments into action against climate change and the cheap energy endgame?
How can we write effectively about these issues?
Speaker Mike Tidwell, Bayou Farewell, Executive Director, Chesapeake Climate Action Network, Takoma Park, MD, USA
04.00 - 05.00 pm
05.00 - 07.30 pm
Closing speech and ensuing panel discussion
Scenarios for life on a hotter planet and for the transition into the post-oil era
Speaker Dr. Jeremy Rifkin, The Hydrogen Economy, President, The Foundation on Economic Trends, Washington, D.C., USA
Moderator Vijay V. Vaitheeswaran, Power to the People, Global Correspondent, The Economist, New York, NY, USA
Panelists Prof. Lord Ronald Oxburgh, former Chairman of Shell Transport and Trading plc; Adviser, Climate Change Capital, House of Lords, London, United Kingdom Dr. Jeremy Rifkin Dr. Wolfgang Sachs, Fair Future, Senior Fellow and Head of the Project Group "Globalization and Sustainability", Wuppertal Institute for Climate, Environment and Energy, Wuppertal, Germany
Reception followed by dinner and garden party with music