Program

XVI Malente Symposium
Lübeck, October 8-10, 2006

Energy, Climate, and Future Welfare - Changing Global Dynamics

Conference Venue:
Lübeck Music and Congress Center
Willy-Brandt-Allee 10
D-23554 Lübeck
Phone: +49 451 79 04-250
Fax: +49 451 79 04-251



Sunday, October 8, 2006

7:00 pm

Opening Reception and Dinner
at Media Docks - European Campus for Digital Media
Willy-Brandt-Allee 31a, D-23554 Lübeck

Speaker:

Prof. Dr. John Deutch, former Director, CIA; Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Cambridge, MA, USA
Energy Security
(Speech, PDF)

After Dinner

Participants Play Jazz!

Prof. Dr. Eckhard Maronn, bass
Dr. Uwe Petersen, bass
Arno Engelhardt, drums
Prof. Dr. Peter Eigen, tenor sax
Gebhard Ohnesorge, clarinet and baritone sax
Prof. Dr. Dieter Feddersen, piano
Craig Morris, vocals

Monday, October 9, 2006

9:00 am - 1:15 pm

Plenary Session

Chair:

Prof. Dr. Dieter H. Feddersen, Member of the Board,
Dräger Foundation, Lübeck, Germany

9:00 am

Welcome by the Organizers

Prof. Dr. Dieter Feddersen

(Speech, PDF)
Prof. Dr. Dennis Snower, President, The Kiel Institute for
the World Economy, Kiel, Germany
(Speech, PDF)

9:15 am - 11:15 am

Opening Speeches

Energy and Climate - Global Challenges of the 21st Century

(What are the energy-political and climate challenges of the coming decades; interdependencies and security issues; options and economic costs; risk potentials, consequences and strategies; why do we need an international energy policy?)

Dr. Uwe Franke, CEO, Deutsche BP AG, Berlin, Germany
(Speech/German, PDF)
(Charts, PDF)

Prof. em. Dr. Hartmut Grassl, Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg; Meteorological Institute, University of Hamburg, Germany
(Speech, PDF)

Luc Werring, Principal Adviser to the DG Transport and Energy, European Commission, Brussels, Belgium
(Charts, PDF)

11:15 - 11:45 am

Coffee Break

11:45 am - 1:15 pm

Panel Discussion

Are We Running out of Gas?

Prof. Dr. Gernot Klepper, Director, The Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel, Germany
(What is the situation today; energy policy facts and framework conditions; access to energy sources: the politics; future energy supply & demand; efficiency of energy use)
(Charts, PDF)

Prof. Dr. Klaus S. Lackner, Earth Engineering Center, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA
(Technological deficits; technologies of the future; risk management and investment decisions)

Vijay V. Vaitheeswaran, Author and Global Correspondent, The Economist, New York, NY, USA
(Reshaping the world of energy: options & actions; inconsistencies, conflicts, costs & deficits of current energy policies)
(Notes, PDF)

Chair:

Rainer Laufs, former Chairman of Deutsche Shell AG; Member of the Supervisory Board, LANXESS AG, Kronberg, Germany

1:15 - 2:15 pm

Lunch

2:15 - 5:15 pm

Parallel Working Groups 1-4

3:30 - 4:00 pm

Coffee Break

Working Group 1

Future Energy Systems

Chair:

Dr. Fridtjof Unander, Vice President, Enova SF, Trondheim, Norway; Former Acting Head, Energy Technology Policy Division, International Energy Agency, Paris, France

Topics & Questions:

  • How do we achieve a post-fossil energy supply?
  • The future role of alternative energies (security & supplies, cost efficiency, climate change);
  • Can nuclear energy solve the problem?
  • How to make use of energy potentials;
  • The cost of energy

Speaker:

Prof. em. Dr. Joachim Luther, former Director, Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems, Freiburg, Germany
(The global potential of solar energy systems)
(Charts, PDF)

Dr. Gregor Czisch, Researcher, Institute for Electrical Energy Technology/Rational Energy Conversion, University of Kassel, Kassel, Germany
(Viable Scenarios for a Future Electricity Supply based 100% on Renewable Energies)
(Charts and Notes)

Andreas Wagner, Manager, Technology External Programs Europe, GE Energy, Salzbergen, Germany
(Future energy security, alternative energies - 'Ecomagination')
(Charts, PDF)
(Background Information/German, PDF)
(Background Information/English, PDF)

Dr. Bob van der Zwaan, Senior Scientist, Energy research Centre of the Netherlands (ECN), Amsterdam, The Netherlands
(Energy technology change and innovation; is nuclear energy an option?)
(Charts, PDF)

Working Group 2:

Energy Policies: Implications for Global Climate and Future Wealth

Chair:

Dr. Johannes Linn, Executive Director, The Wolfensohn Center, The Brookings Institution, Washington, D.C., USA

Topics & Questions:

  • What is the state of global climate?
  • To what extent is energy consumption responsible for global warming?
  • Where are scientific debate and political negotiations currently going?
  • Emissions trading - what can it contribute?
  • Will climate change lead to cultural change? Effects on work attitudes and behaviour

Speakers:

Prof. Dr. Anders Levermann, Juniorprofessor for climate modelling on long timescales, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany
(State of global climate; to what extent is energy consumption responsible for global warming? What is irreversible, what can be inhibited? Climate impacts)
(Speech and Charts, PDF)

Prof. Dr. Peter Höppe, Head of Geo Risks Research, Munich Re Group, Munich, Germany
(Risk analyses: Is global warming increasing the costs of damage caused by natural disasters? Will climate change lead to cultural changes? Effects on work attitudes and behavior)
(Speech, PDF)
(Charts, PDF)

Prof. Dr. Claudia Kemfert, Director, Department of Energy, Transport and Environment, German Institute for Economic Research (DIW), Berlin, Germany
(Global energy systems; economic efficiency and response to climate change)
(Charts, PDF)

Dr. Alexander Golub, Senior Economist, Environmental Defense, Washington, D.C., USA
(Climate change strategies: Emissions trading - what can it contribute?)
(Charts, PDF)

Working Group 3:

Technological Challenges and Options for Future Energy Supply

Chair:

Dr. Udo Brockmeier, Chairman of the Board, EnBW Kraftwerke AG, Stuttgart, Germany

Topics & Questions:

  • How to optimize existing technologies
  • Potential of different technologies
  • Near term options & long term trends
  • How to improve technology transfers

Speakers:

Lord Ronald Oxburgh, House of Lords, Westminster; former Chairman of Shell Transport and Trading plc, London, UK
(near term technological options & long term trends; today"s investment decisions for tomorrow"s energy structure)
(Charts, PDF)

Dr. Wolfgang Eichhammer, Deputy Head, Department of Energy Techniques and Energy Policies, Fraunhofer-ISI, Karlsruhe, Germany
(Potentials for energy savings, technical efficiency)
fileadmin/user_upload/konferenzen_2006/charts_eichhammer.pdf(Notes, PDF)
(Charts, PDF)

Gary V. Litman, Vice President, Europe & Eurasia, U.S. Chamber of Commerce, Washington, D.C., USA
(Policy debate on options for future energy supply - the U.S. perspective)

Dr. V. Sumantran, former Executive Director and Head of R&D, Tata Motors Ltd; Strategic Consultant, Mumbai, India
(Responses of the automotive industry)
(Notes, PDF)
(Charts, PDF)

Dr. Hans Jürgen Wernicke, Member of the Executive Board and Chief Operating Officer, Süd-Chemie Group, Munich, Germany
(How to reduce dependencies on oil - technical challenges for the chemical industry)
(Charts, PDF)

Working Group 4:

The North-South Conflict - Energy Consumption and Sustainable Development

Chair:

Dr. Robert Watson, Chief Scientist, ESSD, The World Bank; former Chairman of the Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC), Washington, D.C., USA

Topics & Questions:

  • Energy and climate protection policies in emerging markets
  • Costs and benefits of sustainable energy policy
  • Trade-offs in climate and related policies (adjustment vs. rejection)
  • Distribution problems and energy security for developing countries

Speakers:

Prof. Dr. Gerhard Berz, Professor for Meteorology, University of Munich; Member of the Council, Munich Re Foundation, Munich, Germany
(Climate Change and Natural Disasters: Economic Impacts on Developing Countries and Possible Countermeasures; risk management for developing countries)

(Speech/English, PDF)
(Speech/German, PDF)
(Charts, PDF)

Prof. Dr. Graciela Chichilnisky, Director, Center for Risk Management, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA
(The role of developing countries for sustainable energy use)

Prof. Nazli Choucri, Professor of Political Science and Director, Global System for Sustainable Development (GSSD), Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Cambridge, MA, USA
(How does climate change impact living standards in developing countries?)
(Charts, PDF)

Prof. Dr. Peter Eigen, Chairman of the Advisory Council, Transparency International; Chairman, Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative Berlin, Germany
(Reversing the resource curse - Transparency for Extractive Industries)

7:30 pm

Dinner at the Schiffergesellschaft Restaurant

Dinner Speaker:

Frank Schweikert, Biologist and Journalist; ALDEBARAN Marine Research & Broadcast, Hamburg, Germany

Climate Change: consequences for oceans and people
(Speech/German, PDF)
(Speech/English, PDF)

Tuesday, October 10, 2006

9:00 am - 1:00 pm

Plenary Session

Chair:

Prof. Dr. Dennis Snower

9:00 - 10:30 am

Reports from the Working Groups and Panel Discussion on Working Group results

Prof. em. Dr. Joachim Luther, Working Group 1
(Charts, PDF)
Dr. Johannes Linn, Working Group 2
(Summary, PDF)
Dr. Udo Brockmeier, Working Group 3
(Charts, PDF)
Dr. Robert Watson, Working Group 4
(Charts, PDF)

General discussion

10:30 - 11:00 am

Coffee Break

11:00 am - 1:00 pm

Closing Speeches

The Psychology of Denial or Why Do We Find it So Hard to Act Against Climate Change?

George Marshall, Executive Director, The Climate Outreach and Information Network (COIN), Oxford, United Kingdom
(Notes, PDF)
(Charts, PDF)

How to Reach Global Accords on Energy and Climate Policies

Dr. Vladislav Belov, Director, Research Center Germany, Europe Institute of the Russian Academy of Science, Moscow, Russian Federation

Prof. Dr. Bo Qiang Lin, Director, Center for China Energy Economic Research, University of Xiamen, PR China
(Speech, PDF)
(Charts, PDF)

01:15 pm

Farewell

Prof. Dr. Dieter Feddersen

Prof. Dr. Dennis Snower

01:30 pm

Lunch Buffet and End of Conference